Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40b0b753d87e4904689eaace3e5c2599945b579a3271e9d4609f44c1b1e0a980
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Como 1907of Como 1907, US Lecce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1dd…9debbacked Como 1907 | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Como 1907 | 34c | 543$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.59 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked US Lecce | 73c | 467$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.91 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed US Lecce | 60c | 444$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed US Lecce | 67c | 408.5$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.3 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…6946backed US Lecce | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…4114backed US Lecce | 73c | 355$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b5…4526backed US Lecce | 73c | 245$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked US Lecce | 41c | 245$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Como 1907 | 46c | 241.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Como 1907 | 44c | 237.56$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed US Lecce | 60c | 198$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed US Lecce | 73c | 170$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked US Lecce | 57c | 121$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked US Lecce | 73c | 117$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Como 1907 | 61c | 115.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Como 1907 | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed US Lecce | 73c | 99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed US Lecce | 73c | 82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed US Lecce | 74c | 68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Como 1907 | 24c | 59.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Como 1907 | 27c | 48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Como 1907 | 40c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Como 1907 | 27c | 47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed US Lecce | 60c | 46.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Como 1907 | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Como 1907 | 27c | 43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Como 1907 | 26c | 43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed US Lecce | 73c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Como 1907 | 27c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Como 1907 | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Como 1907 | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Como 1907 | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Como 1907 | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Como 1907 | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Como 1907 | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…9e83backed Como 1907 | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Como 1907 | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Como 1907 | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Como 1907 | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked US Lecce | 75c | 20.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ad…69ccbacked Como 1907 | 64c | 19.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed US Lecce | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed US Lecce | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)this page
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.