Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf77b8883d576a4a8d227fb7d16c1ed54ce3e3c31a630a03eabf15a3f80fa3ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 30c | 980.44$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.63 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 731.65$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.34 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 54c | 301.85$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.85 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 45c | 294.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 176.5$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 43c | 133.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 55c | 104.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 38.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Yes | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…bbb9backed Yes | 45c | 28.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…83edbacked No | 55c | 27.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…6b6bbacked Yes | 46c | 27.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c4…f812backed Yes | 45c | 26.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…0c12backed Yes | 45c | 26.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…47eabacked No | 56c | 25.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 55c | 22.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 20.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…eaf6backed No | 56c | 20.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 54c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 73c | 18.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e3…47cebacked No | 57c | 18.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…f513backed No | 57c | 17.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.