Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc5bb4b103f1840807b1a9774c7171eadd737271c5528af64afcd6f3dc47b4e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over | 76c | 2,622$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 2,105$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.52 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 36c | 1,843$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.19 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Under | 10c | 1,001$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 961.2$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.15 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 4c | 931.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Over | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 31c | 206$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 32c | 157$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 32c | 153$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 32c | 123$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 32c | 117$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 27c | 117$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 32c | 115$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 100.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…fca8backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 32c | 98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 63c | 76.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 32c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 68c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Over | 68c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 68c | 53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Under | 35c | 51.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked Over | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Over | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 63c | 27.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Over | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Over | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Over | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.