Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x287a8180d8e28e6f1295659c076a7711ec813a5e268f02f962548220c76efccc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 11,960$6,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,927.59 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 42c | 9,784$4,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,674.75 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 58c | 5,159$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.48 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 61c | 3,998$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.27 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…6b8cbacked Over | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Under | 1c | 2,111$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 2,010$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.34 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 58c | 1,569$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.23 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.5 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 1,045$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.88 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 11c | 1,009$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 57c | 802.43$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 64c | 750$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 39c | 716.06$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.8 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 60c | 433.33$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 41c | 336$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.24 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under | 59c | 267.07$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 40c | 253.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 227.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…452fbacked Under | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 38c | 175.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 60c | 170$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 65c | 134$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 54c | 116$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 58c | 101$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 38c | 76.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Under | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 69c | 51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…2584backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Under | 49c | 28.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…8727backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.