Asian League · resolved market
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x958c746532d7c2da4eed303ab4e6c195b9fac9ccc7f78c27e24feee39e926fe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 6,533$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.98 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 58c | 4,212$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.17 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 74c | 4,000$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 29c | 2,404$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.12 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Under | 71c | 834.19$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 60c | 747.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.98 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 42c | 736.76$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.44 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 727.46$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.03 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 40c | 375.11$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 373.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 43c | 234.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 42c | 207.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 39c | 199.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Under | 74c | 198.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Under | 70c | 172.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…0c2abacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Under | 59c | 108.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 42c | 104.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Over | 33c | 102.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 41c | 98.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Over | 42c | 83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 42c | 64.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 34c | 61.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 33c | 60.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…2c54backed Under | 62c | 53.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 52.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 39c | 51.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 43.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…f57abacked Over | 42c | 31.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…50acbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Under | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Under | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Under | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Under | 62c | 21.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Under | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…0cd1backed Under | 59c | 17.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.