Asian League · resolved market
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cca84358b7b59871a62f56a0f174a6e246bb12a862c10b1f6ec0eb9023aabb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,224$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.27 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 45c | 1,422$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.9 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8f…c146backed Over | 51c | 759.26$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 361$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.43 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 65c | 199.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Under | 47c | 188.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 34c | 169$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 162.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 56c | 143.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 34c | 139$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 93.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…2c54backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Under | 48c | 86.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 64c | 78.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 36c | 75.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 64c | 75.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 75.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…1e04backed Over | 44c | 58.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 34c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 66c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 35c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 66c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4a…dd45backed Over | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 63c | 27.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 66c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 66c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Over | 65c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 65c | 15.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.