Asian League · resolved market
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90c8bc92d040f10ee104b2cde81a369fe4ebbdc6c8ac8e83803c3c8f70a28275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 15c | 998.44$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.42 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 933.68$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.28 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 44c | 849.4$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 14c | 438$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.68 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 426.04$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.19 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 415.71$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 16c | 371.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.51 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 79c | 354.95$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 265.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.55 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 45c | 224.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 66c | 166.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…21ebbacked Over | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Under | 17c | 115.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11c…2c54backed Under | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Under | 26c | 84.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…ba74backed Under | 28c | 62.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +261%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 80c | 55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 27.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…e1d0backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Over | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.