Asian League · resolved market
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689753faaf5971ed5ea78d4ead64287f7b9509e8b693402b09cd417965b00506
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 78c | 1,486$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.4 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 24c | 1,246$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.5 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 22c | 799.95$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Under | 78c | 649.97$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 9c | 421.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 12c | 419.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 77c | 399.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 22c | 245$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 22c | 227$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 23c | 219.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 161.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 25c | 152$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 23c | 143.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 22c | 122.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…f1e0backed Over | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…c497backed Over | 27c | 58.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Over | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Over | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Under | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 76c | 29.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Under | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Under | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Under | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…9f11backed Under | 78c | 23.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…3d01backed Under | 78c | 23.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…6af6backed Under | 78c | 21.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…0014backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9508…73d3backed Under | 78c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Under | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Under | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Under | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.