TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hofstra Prideof Hofstra Pride, Towson Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,749 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6713…73dabacked Towson Tigers1c32,006$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hofstra Pride46c14,933$6,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,007.932,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Towson Tigers51c10,713$5,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,487.128749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Hofstra Pride48c9,866$4,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,130.457245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Towson Tigers52c8,726$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,545.7935452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Towson Tigers55c7,456$4,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0876543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf569…36a6backed Hofstra Pride50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5638…8c71backed Hofstra Pride80c5,101$4,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Towson Tigers52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60012364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hofstra Pride45c3,697$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.0812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc526…bf92backed Towson Tigers4c3,586$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150140%0 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Towson Tigers31c3,517$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.572,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Towson Tigers22c3,370$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.1239744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hofstra Pride67c3,123$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.85,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hofstra Pride46c2,106$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.262,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Hofstra Pride52c1,926$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.167839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Towson Tigers52c1,900$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hofstra Pride46c1,898$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.391,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Hofstra Pride45c1,667$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.673943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Towson Tigers50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Hofstra Pride51c1,202$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.695831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hofstra Pride48c1,099$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.181,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Hofstra Pride47c1,070$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.2416135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Towson Tigers49c1,052$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.0924451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hofstra Pride46c988$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.5255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Hofstra Pride51c980.78$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.633342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Towson Tigers22c941.71$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.362,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Towson Tigers24c839.24$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7442327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Hofstra Pride48c829.28$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.1415861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Towson Tigers30c815.72$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24811439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8398…749abacked Towson Tigers12c736.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.11414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-75.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hofstra Pride48c627.69$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.784,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Towson Tigers19c595.54$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.712,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aeb…5a2dbacked Hofstra Pride50c584.85$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Towson Tigers51c515.32$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.33,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Towson Tigers33c514.7$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3273549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Hofstra Pride46c499.89$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9418129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hofstra Pride46c417.75$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.555,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Hofstra Pride50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Towson Tigers50c332.33$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Hofstra Pride47c299.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Towson Tigers48c299.01$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.531,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hofstra Pride47c293$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.391,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Towson Tigers41c281.49$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5332343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Hofstra Pride45c260$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14321449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Towson Tigers51c256.23$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.132,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Hofstra Pride47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.324146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Towson Tigers53c253.9$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5774152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Hofstra Pride47c250.28$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.428843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Hofstra Pride59c236.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.159771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Towson Tigers52c209.62$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10925544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Hofstra Pride48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3311444.7%51 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Hofstra Pride45c208$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.463551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Hofstra Pride58c207$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.345644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Hofstra Pride49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Towson Tigers26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5242934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Hofstra Pride50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005024%12 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Hofstra Pride51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Towson Tigers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Towson Tigers55c180.55$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9912642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hofstra Pride47c175.34$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.683,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Towson Tigers8c165.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.691,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Towson Tigers54c144$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.762441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Towson Tigers52c138.42$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9816051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Towson Tigers56c133.43$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.723450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Hofstra Pride48c131.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.971968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Towson Tigers50c123.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Hofstra Pride59c117.42$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5257335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hofstra Pride73c115.82$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.741,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Hofstra Pride46c107.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.911838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Towson Tigers25c100.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Hofstra Pride45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Towson Tigers51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013247%62 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07aa…63bfbacked Hofstra Pride51c97.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.75050%25 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Towson Tigers53c95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.351,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Hofstra Pride48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.815250%76 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Towson Tigers52c79.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6421059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked Towson Tigers25c69.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.18446.8%3 W · 41 L-13.8wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-88.7%equal weight28-0.20 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Hofstra Pride54c63.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Towson Tigers50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307040%28 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Towson Tigers50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Towson Tigers53c58.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1819055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b1…e667backed Towson Tigers53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hofstra Pride48c55.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.854,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Towson Tigers20c53.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.94330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x676e…79b6backed Hofstra Pride47c53.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898c…b3febacked Hofstra Pride56c53.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6038…2130backed Hofstra Pride47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Hofstra Pride50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Towson Tigers56c49.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.744757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+235.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x844d…3059backed Hofstra Pride55c43.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79bc…a007backed Towson Tigers49c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Towson Tigers51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.422552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b9…e6d3backed Hofstra Pride68c39.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.414667.4%31 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c0…e43ebacked Hofstra Pride52c38.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.653565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e1a…a659backed Hofstra Pride78c38.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Towson Tigers55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e21…7defbacked Towson Tigers55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Hofstra Pride47c30.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.26728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3b3…27babacked Hofstra Pride46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.