Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7327abde299bcb72d2b9ec87081e0438084e13061236b0ad5ae083669c6c1b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hofstra Prideof Hofstra Pride, Towson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Towson Tigers | 56c | 652.93$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Hofstra Pride | 44c | 582$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.92 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Towson Tigers | 58c | 139$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Towson Tigers | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Hofstra Pride | 43c | 118.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Towson Tigers | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hofstra Pride | 46c | 47.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Hofstra Pride | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Hofstra Pride | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Hofstra Pride | 44c | 34.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Hofstra Pride | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Towson Tigers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Towson Tigers | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Hofstra Pride | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Hofstra Pride | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Hofstra Pride | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Hofstra Pride | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Towson Tigers | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Towson Tigers | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-1.5)this page
- Hofstra Pride vs. Towson TigersHofstra Pride won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 131.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 132.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 133.5Over won
- Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 134.5Over won
- Spread: Towson Tigers (-2.5)Hofstra Pride won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.