Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e832b3af29ed8c613b255cf57d71f5c8bc78360778fbf454e2c43d70801aa73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 58c | 19,618$11,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,378.67 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 2,994$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.29 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 43c | 2,000$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.37 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 70c | 1,467$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…8302backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 682.46$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes | 70c | 617.04$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 57c | 471.63$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.83 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 458.28$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.8 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed No | 58c | 428.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 57c | 410.21$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.82 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 399.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 43c | 349$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.93 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Yes | 79c | 240.51$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 30c | 229.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 30c | 177.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 43c | 163$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 58c | 159.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 57c | 147.81$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…b6e6backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed No | 28c | 101$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 42c | 74.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 74.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Yes | 41c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…1096backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…bc16backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe406…4cc1backed Yes | 42c | 59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 28c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 51.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b13…0a2abacked No | 59c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 56c | 43.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 60c | 40.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Yes | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…0918backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…a00abacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Yes | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Yes | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…07cdbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 58c | 24.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Yes | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Yes | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked No | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed No | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 60c | 17.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Yes | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Göztepe SK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.