NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d8c4a2c147e726015488380975126becb9e6d9d6f56e98d08cf2f3055084fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Hornets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hornets | 50c | 83,496$41,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,969.56 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Wizards | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Wizards | 55c | 27,111$14,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,911 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Wizards | 55c | 23,000$12,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,650 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Hornets | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…2d4bbacked Hornets | 45c | 16,111$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,861.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 50c | 16,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wizards | 49c | 14,689$7,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,197.7 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…1fafbacked Wizards | 53c | 11,400$6,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,008 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…bcb6backed Hornets | 46c | 11,000$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…6cc5backed Hornets | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,049.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Wizards | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 50c | 9,649$4,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,824.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hornets | 51c | 9,013$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416.13 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 50c | 8,284$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wizards | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Wizards | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed Hornets | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…ed6cbacked Wizards | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…d7d5backed Wizards | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…7c03backed Hornets | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e3ecbacked Hornets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Wizards | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Wizards | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Hornets | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Hornets | 51c | 920.86$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.22 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Hornets | 61c | 917.7$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.11 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Hornets | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Wizards | 50c | 696$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.87 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 54c | 596.5$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.11 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Wizards | 50c | 400.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Wizards | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 25c | 342$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Hornets | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards | 36c | 273.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Wizards | 57c | 224.28$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 51c | 217.41$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Hornets | 47c | 211.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Hornets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 49c | 164$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Wizards | 49c | 137.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Wizards | 51c | 136.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Wizards | 49c | 121$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Wizards | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Wizards | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Hornets | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Wizards | 54c | 114$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Hornets | 47c | 108.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Wizards | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Wizards | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Wizards | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Hornets | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Hornets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Wizards | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hornets | 44c | 99.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Hornets | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f3…1cc4backed Wizards | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Wizards | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Hornets | 51c | 71.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Hornets | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…bcf2backed Wizards | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Hornets | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Wizards | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Hornets | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…7052backed Wizards | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…1b8fbacked Hornets | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Hornets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hornets | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Wizards | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 36.3%49 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Hornets | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…2103backed Wizards | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Hornets | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Hornets | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Wizards | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wizards | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Hornets | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Wizards | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Wizards | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Hornets | 52c | 32.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Hornets | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Hornets | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hornets | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Wizards | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Hornets | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Wizards | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Hornets | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked Hornets | 47c | 28.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Hornets | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Hornets | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Hornets (-7.5)Hornets won
- Wizards vs. HornetsHornets won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.