TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,561 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes53c30,000$15,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,10036243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No47c20,034$9,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,415.966547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c8,931$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,183.277,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes53c7,000$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,29019445.9%89 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c6,348$3,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,166.92,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No47c5,958$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.3411949.6%59 W · 60 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No15c4,423$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.745,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes49c2,876$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.7525046.8%117 W · 133 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes52c1,300$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4839637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No49c1,250$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.511136.9%41 W · 70 L-15.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes46c1,008$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes50c926.96$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.548557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No51c899.65$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.6985340.1%342 W · 511 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No37c879.96$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.11,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No48c706.72$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2419241.7%80 W · 112 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes48c625.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.114946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.121717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Yes48c447.14$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed No48c409$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.322934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373c…2456backed No55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes51c398.71$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.891,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No31c386.86$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.841,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed No47c348$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.124047.5%19 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes42c312$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8410827.8%30 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71a8…22f0backed Yes47c305.24$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No47c299.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9921044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No32c283.6$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.118143.6%79 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No46c269.51$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.973043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed No47c266$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.023231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a5f…3670backed Yes54c259.39$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5172…31e6backed Yes74c250.07$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Yes47c241.4$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes47c240.27$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.754841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed No15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+457%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed No48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.41050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed No47c176$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.721050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No57c175.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8422542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked No47c142$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.743852.6%20 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed No47c142$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.743046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked No47c139$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.331450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.898356.6%47 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed No48c118$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.642828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Yes53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed No48c109$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.321369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+45%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.384353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6642…31cdbacked Yes47c104.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No48c104.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked No48c103$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.442536%9 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.999644.8%43 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Yes52c92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.822166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked No48c91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.682630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No55c90.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed No47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9610155.4%56 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.963426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed No47c84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.482334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed No48c81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.882846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed No48c79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.921735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed No47c76.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.86955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Yes52c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.171656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No61c75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7524242.1%102 W · 140 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b5…a762backed Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked No48c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed No47c72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.842133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b39…c6babacked Yes54c72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5d…1711backed Yes44c68.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed No47c68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.961747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Yes53c62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No20c61.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1159855.5%332 W · 266 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Yes52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Yes52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes53c58.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.732147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Yes52c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.681573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked No48c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.442548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked No53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Yes53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked No47c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.031353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed No48c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.522236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No54c48.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.943253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d61…3113backed Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf21a…0751backed Yes53c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.09977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked No48c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.561921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-56.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x521c…64d2backed Yes52c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.921580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4810439.4%41 W · 63 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x315c…593bbacked Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Yes52c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Yes52c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.681650%8 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+79%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes47c38.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Yes53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.021275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d3…f9cabacked No48c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.