Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8583d33e2344b0669228f93d294567ec0f0aa9b5fafad4f2d71443c214705cd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 63c | 35,000$22,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,950 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 37c | 35,000$12,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,950 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 43c | 1,800$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.32 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 1,684$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 69c | 1,453$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.93 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 37c | 1,100$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 36c | 1,010$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…8e9bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 833.59$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.39 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 827.33$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.87 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 624$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 603.67$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.31 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes | 69c | 474.49$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 64c | 441$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 56c | 357.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 38c | 344.22$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…73ebbacked Yes | 61c | 330.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 69c | 300$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 222$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 62c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +312.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 36c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…1e6bbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 65c | 146.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 68c | 130$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked No | 33c | 121$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 35c | 118.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 36c | 95.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 61c | 88.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 64c | 84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes | 66c | 74.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed No | 35c | 74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 62c | 70.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3205…d8ccbacked Yes | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf187…b390backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 32c | 51.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 62c | 44.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +388.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…81f0backed No | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 68c | 34.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b4…23c0backed No | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked No | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 64c | 30.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed No | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 63c | 26.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…58b0backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 69c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 19.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Yes | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Yes | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Yes | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Yes | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 64c | 15.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Yes | 66c | 15.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will AEK Lárnakas vs. KF Shkëndija 79 end in a draw?No won
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.