Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b8c067afa81daff99112ed23eb57380bcb79f70f87433440f154289a8121e01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 0c | 7,477$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,859$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.99 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…3ce2backed Over | 53c | 1,265$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.13 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 48c | 519.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.53 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 47c | 495.21$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.75 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 399.98$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Over | 56c | 355.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.51 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 55c | 300$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Over | 52c | 299.89$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…3f0dbacked Under | 31c | 225.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Over | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 142$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Over | 51c | 96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 48c | 95.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Under | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Over | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 43c | 90.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 47c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Over | 50c | 85.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 313 | 52.4%164 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Over | 51c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Over | 51c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 49c | 73.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 72.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Over | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Over | 51c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +72%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 46c | 67.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…75d0backed Over | 70c | 66.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Over | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Over | 51c | 62.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 57c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 45c | 58.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 59c | 57.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cf…a424backed Under | 29c | 56.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…7148backed Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 55c | 55.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked Over | 75c | 53.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Over | 53c | 47.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 465 | 60%279 W · 186 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Under | 45c | 46.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Over | 57c | 39.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d8…827cbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…fefabacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Under | 42c | 29.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 364 | 67.3%245 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…ee0ebacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…4154backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…c207backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…4600backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfd…03febacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…054fbacked Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 58c | 19.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf68…e90abacked Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)T1 won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.