Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x614aba13f207dc2fb51aab4fb69f471d2bf8dfea3abc4b4d1e6a39eae1dc5c54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Life Esportsof T1, Hanwha Life Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Hanwha Life Esports | 75c | 2,540$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.4 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed T1 | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked T1 | 27c | 1,087$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed T1 | 29c | 872.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hanwha Life Esports | 70c | 540.07$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed T1 | 26c | 540$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…da0ebacked T1 | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Hanwha Life Esports | 69c | 151.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed T1 | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Hanwha Life Esports | 61c | 87.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9e…0587backed T1 | 39c | 87.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed T1 | 27c | 85.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…c181backed T1 | 31c | 55.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Hanwha Life Esports | 75c | 17.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)T1 won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.