NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0bf439c2668744d5438f75f0ac848416d3b44066f0edfc6f993332cb04ad0bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Lakers, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 44c | 16,867$7,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,408.77 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers | 48c | 10,407$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Clippers | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 54c | 6,637$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Clippers | 51c | 4,157$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.87 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 46c | 3,615$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.05 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Clippers | 55c | 2,193$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.85 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Clippers | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Clippers | 53c | 1,797$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.39 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Clippers | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Clippers | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…949bbacked Clippers | 55c | 1,308$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 52c | 996$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers | 55c | 232.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Clippers | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Clippers | 52c | 163.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Lakers | 45c | 159.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Clippers | 56c | 146$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Clippers | 56c | 117$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Clippers | 56c | 107$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers | 50c | 101.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Clippers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Clippers | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Clippers | 56c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Lakers | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Lakers | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Clippers | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Lakers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Lakers | 44c | 38.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Lakers | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Lakers | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Lakers | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90f…aa8dbacked Lakers | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Lakers | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Lakers | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Clippers | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Lakers | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Lakers | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729c…2b1ebacked Lakers | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Lakers | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Clippers | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)this page
- Lakers vs. ClippersClippers won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.