NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d77f9f10b2ff36b5c990b9fff28cb6d27e95352b86c993d8e68e472d6d51649

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $107,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $108,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,161 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under	51c	41,976$21,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,568.17	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	0c	17,222$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98b5…e61fbacked Over	49c	15,621$7,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,654.41	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	49c	10,899$5,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,344.54	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	49c	10,000$4,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,849.98	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4089…49dbbacked Over	50c	9,870$4,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,935.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab0…7cebbacked Under	50c	9,870$4,935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,935	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over	49c	4,898$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-8.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Over	52c	4,314$2,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,242	158	55.7%88 W · 70 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Under	51c	3,909$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,909.24	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over	51c	2,685$1,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,382.25	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	49c	2,561$1,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,263.89	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,224.99	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over	46c	2,220$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015.8	230	47%108 W · 122 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	49c	1,944$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.94	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	51c	1,500$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.99	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	49c	1,122$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	57c	1,040$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	51c	851$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.99	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Over	7c	760.74$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.11	98	28.6%28 W · 70 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d3…bb7cbacked Over	51c	668.63$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	49c	660$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.4	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Over	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x964c…0a17backed Over	53c	566.04$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacb…dff3backed Over	51c	464.71$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Over	49c	457$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.93	141	45.4%64 W · 77 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	726	47.7%346 W · 380 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Over	15c	294.65$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.49	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over	49c	279.59$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Over	8c	239.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Over	49c	210$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.9	548	38%208 W · 340 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over	52c	209.99$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.19	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	373	52%194 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over	49c	196$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.04	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over	53c	189.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	710	44.6%317 W · 393 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a5…1633backed Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f80…d2ecbacked Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	70c	176$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.88	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Over	20c	162.12$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	358	44.1%158 W · 200 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aef…dc0fbacked Over	49c	153.06$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Over	49c	122.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	201	50.7%102 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2472…f7e0backed Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e49…bd4bbacked Under	52c	104.25$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.04	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over	49c	104$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.96	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Over	53c	100.34$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.2	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	555	33.5%186 W · 369 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ce…daddbacked Over	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over	49c	99.22$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.62	223	47.1%105 W · 118 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ac…5ad1backed Over	26c	96.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.86	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Over	49c	81.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3620…2e6cbacked Over	37c	70.13$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Over	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4af…0938backed Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1209…fa75backed Over	49c	56.12$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59fe…2041backed Under	52c	51.81$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.81	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Over	49c	50.18$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.59	236	42.4%100 W · 136 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Over	49c	46.94$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fb4cbacked Under	71c	44$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.66	102	57.8%59 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	202	41.1%83 W · 119 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	122	45.9%56 W · 66 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	153	51%78 W · 75 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	236	51.7%122 W · 114 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea6…b729backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	242	53.3%129 W · 113 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x190b…2f3abacked Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	48c	28.28$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.71	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under	50c	24.23$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.12	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaeb…996dbacked Under	52c	23.81$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.43	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Under	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d7…1635backed Under	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5this page
Lakers vs. ClippersClippers won
Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5Under won
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Clippers won
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Clippers won
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Clippers won
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Clippers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event