NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0e11d0b53359e1287f0b5fd40a7841531f38b265d73fc6c26183f35fbaa8156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Lakers, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Lakers | 49c | 85,014$41,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,791.36 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 51c | 84,064$43,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,013.96 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Lakers | 48c | 16,265$7,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,807.25 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Clippers | 54c | 4,359$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.24 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Lakers | 48c | 4,005$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.45 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Clippers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 50c | 2,715$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Lakers | 48c | 2,082$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.14 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Clippers | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Clippers | 49c | 1,372$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.81 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Clippers | 55c | 1,128$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.86 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 46c | 1,093$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 47c | 915.53$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Clippers | 53c | 850$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers | 50c | 646$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers | 3c | 540$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Lakers | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.76 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 49c | 377$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Clippers | 55c | 274.55$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.55 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…0cc5backed Lakers | 49c | 214.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Lakers | 47c | 210.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Lakers | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Lakers | 19c | 189.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Clippers | 51c | 185$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Clippers | 53c | 162$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Lakers | 49c | 141.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Lakers | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…fb43backed Lakers | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Lakers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Lakers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Clippers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Lakers | 15c | 65.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Lakers | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 51c | 61.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed Lakers | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…05ecbacked Lakers | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Lakers | 46c | 47.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Clippers | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…82e7backed Clippers | 52c | 44.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Lakers | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Lakers | 49c | 43.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…19debacked Lakers | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Lakers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Lakers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Lakers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Clippers | 79c | 38.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Lakers | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Lakers | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…2041backed Clippers | 52c | 30.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clippers | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)this page
- Lakers vs. ClippersClippers won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.