NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x144ddc7f9d742d9e047fd69721087aa4ab551f0e4d2d28ec12e8273c9f5d1e35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Lakers, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Lakers | 52c | 34,396$17,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,885.9 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Clippers | 49c | 11,000$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,609.99 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers | 48c | 9,356$4,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.14 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 48c | 6,040$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.99 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Clippers | 48c | 4,621$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.09 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 49c | 4,321$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Lakers | 51c | 3,641$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.46 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Lakers | 53c | 3,580$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.4 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 49c | 3,172$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Clippers | 51c | 2,983$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.31 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 48c | 2,493$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers | 49c | 1,983$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Clippers | 51c | 1,710$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.69 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Lakers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Clippers | 49c | 820$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.2 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Lakers | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Clippers | 49c | 500$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Clippers | 49c | 281.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Lakers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Lakers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Clippers | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Clippers | 49c | 145$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Clippers | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers | 51c | 105.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Lakers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Clippers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Lakers | 52c | 94.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Lakers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Lakers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Lakers | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…e072backed Lakers | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Clippers | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Clippers | 49c | 36.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Lakers | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Lakers | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Lakers | 52c | 28.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Clippers | 48c | 28.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 50c | 26.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Lakers | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Lakers | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 50c | 25.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Clippers | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…410bbacked Clippers | 79c | 13.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)this page
- Lakers vs. ClippersClippers won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.