NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9230ef8dee1fe73efea6ff5fb3a13398c0cbe0b695a56cfbebe3019fbee6af2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bd3…6907backed Under | 49c | 9,850$4,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa669…a98abacked Over | 51c | 9,850$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,023.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 1,614$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 1,236$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 53c | 850$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 52c | 386.59$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Over | 58c | 345.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 280.74$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 56c | 177.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 46c | 163$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 43c | 162$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 137.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 44c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 44c | 104$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 43c | 104$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 43c | 98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…c072backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Under | 49c | 87.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 54c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 63.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 56c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 56c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca2…79abbacked Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 54c | 30.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 51c | 19.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5this page
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. PelicansSuns won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.