NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53a34ce489a0f1d2492f72879111061428d0fea9cbcb3907dfca51c97430a8cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa837…b8a4backed Under | 52c | 15,600$8,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,488 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…72b0backed Over | 48c | 15,600$7,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,488 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 2,848$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.21 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 2,006$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,212$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.21 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,034$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 985.86$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.07 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 948.36$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 52c | 594$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.88 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…a56ebacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -26%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 291.86$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 47c | 276.79$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.82 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 167.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 15c | 145$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 46c | 135.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 46c | 129.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…683dbacked Over | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…98e5backed Over | 8c | 126.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 54c | 114.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 52c | 113$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…4b57backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 94.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…86e7backed Over | 47c | 87.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 49c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 75.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 49c | 51.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 42.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 47c | 39.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 49c | 27.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Over | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 47c | 26.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5this page
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. PelicansSuns won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.