NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x355c5e687b0b355f769060673f91dce91e2a6acc3482857bd5e0f166a8066af3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $664,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 51c | 395,863$200,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195,229.57 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 50c | 148,573$74,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,335.71 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pelicans | 49c | 144,444$70,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,777.56 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.97 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pelicans | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Suns | 53c | 25,980$13,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,313.72 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Pelicans | 50c | 24,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3033…eda3backed Suns | 49c | 22,441$10,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,444.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0273backed Suns | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 19,360$9,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,486.21 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Pelicans | 53c | 19,021$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa387…6fb1backed Suns | 49c | 17,064$8,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,690.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…2d4abacked Suns | 49c | 14,273$6,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,279.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pelicans | 49c | 10,557$5,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,155.61 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9374…1e73backed Suns | 49c | 10,228$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,216.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans | 49c | 10,122$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.82 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.95 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans | 52c | 8,930$4,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,643.6 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Pelicans | 50c | 8,559$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,279.6 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…2052backed Pelicans | 51c | 8,200$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…bb9bbacked Suns | 49c | 8,200$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…abbdbacked Pelicans | 51c | 8,200$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…d157backed Suns | 49c | 8,200$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Pelicans | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Suns | 49c | 7,351$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.02 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 51c | 6,348$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Suns | 49c | 5,200$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.1 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pelicans | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Pelicans | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 4,487$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.36 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Suns | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.34 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…f821backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 48c | 3,991$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 3,260$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Pelicans | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…cf16backed Suns | 49c | 2,918$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Suns | 49c | 2,571$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.43 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,293$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.27 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked Pelicans | 4c | 2,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Pelicans | 4c | 2,100$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.4 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Suns | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Suns | 48c | 2,015$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.14 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,971$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.12 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Suns | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.77 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,766$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.42 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,708$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Pelicans | 10c | 1,400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 1,354$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.68 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,118$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.35 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Pelicans | 19c | 1,115$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.92 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Suns | 48c | 1,103$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.35 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Suns | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pelicans | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 51c | 943.67$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Pelicans | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Suns | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Pelicans | 21c | 761$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Pelicans | 4c | 750$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Suns | 49c | 749.98$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans | 50c | 735.14$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.57 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Suns | 48c | 630.88$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.06 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Suns | 49c | 613$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Pelicans | 50c | 597.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Pelicans | 21c | 583.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pelicans | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Suns | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 457.69$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Pelicans | 52c | 405.46$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Pelicans | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Suns | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Pelicans | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 363.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 45c | 357.46$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Suns | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Suns | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Suns | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Pelicans | 49c | 255$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Pelicans | 7c | 253.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Pelicans | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns | 50c | 229.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.93 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pelicans | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Suns | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Suns | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Suns | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Pelicans | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 197.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Pelicans | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. PelicansSuns won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5Under won
- Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.