TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Suns54c14,663$7,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,746.182,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Pelicans46c10,271$4,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,717.735750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns56c6,281$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.219,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans45c5,025$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.156,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Pelicans44c4,545$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00038261.5%235 W · 147 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans48c3,946$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.474,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans45c3,651$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3e…949bbacked Suns54c2,800$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans46c1,581$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.284,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Suns55c1,293$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.842,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Pelicans43c1,067$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.7821446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Suns57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1910541%43 W · 62 L-11.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Pelicans45c810.69$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.911,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Suns57c800$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34420746.4%96 W · 111 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26a5…2731backed Pelicans44c634.36$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.121540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans47c570.45$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.115,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Pelicans47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Suns58c384.64$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6446258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans45c284.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.353,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Pelicans44c249.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9936854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa3a7…9638backed Pelicans44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Suns57c212.13$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1323058.7%135 W · 95 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6995…c072backed Pelicans43c210$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.31822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-55.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Pelicans44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815844.9%71 W · 87 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fd…b08fbacked Pelicans44c199.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9960%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Suns54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pelicans44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.431,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Suns56c177.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2515657.7%90 W · 66 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans47c175.5$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.683,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Suns57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4420762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Suns57c174.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1412155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Pelicans44c126$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.446349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8776…1ca3backed Pelicans44c125$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Pelicans44c124.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512454%67 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pelicans46c124.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.572,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Pelicans43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.688845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Pelicans45c118.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1576247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans46c111.45$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.722,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Pelicans43c110$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.38943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Pelicans47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Pelicans44c106$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.649258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pelicans47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Suns52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Pelicans57c93.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0212655.6%70 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns56c91.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.243,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Pelicans44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Suns57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7261056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Pelicans46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015853.8%85 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Pelicans44c83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.529048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Pelicans44c82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.086839.7%27 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9a7…add9backed Suns56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.22040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Pelicans47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.921056.2%118 W · 92 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef71…dedebacked Suns56c66.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.076552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Pelicans43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.87651.3%39 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Pelicans44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.423651.7%122 W · 114 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Suns55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2741251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Suns50c58.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3282440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Suns56c56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.643857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc789…3907backed Suns56c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.073342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Suns58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Pelicans44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214751%75 W · 72 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Suns56c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.124353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Suns57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8634556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Suns56c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.483857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Suns56c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.483438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4841…a4b1backed Pelicans53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbea1…1408backed Pelicans50c38.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Pelicans52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021051.4%108 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Pelicans44c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.727951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Suns54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0429046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Suns56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7125058.4%146 W · 104 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc36…1b11backed Suns56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.719943.4%43 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x715c…78c0backed Suns58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Pelicans45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Suns57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.987950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Suns52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.449358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Suns57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.92759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Suns57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.93964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Pelicans47c26.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.548451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d8…682abacked Pelicans46c26.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0e…12bdbacked Pelicans46c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Suns56c25.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.121,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Suns56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.564652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Suns56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.565164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Suns56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.562853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Suns56c22.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8215841.1%65 W · 93 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07a4…be3abacked Suns56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Suns56c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.365552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Suns56c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.365056%28 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Suns56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.923336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.