Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x282c916afb028c22ed4615badeb36f93c565ad5db9a323a1f9bd3a75b20af196
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Under | 50c | 35,892$17,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,852.36 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 49c | 8,309$4,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,207.21 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 51c | 4,868$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.4 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 2,558$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.07 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,583$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 47c | 756$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.68 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 47c | 756$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.68 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Under | 7c | 348$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 112.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 51c | 104.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 52c | 83.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 53c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 49c | 76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 65.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Over | 48c | 65.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 48c | 59.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 51c | 42.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Over | 51c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 50c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 139.5this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland TerrapinsMaryland Terrapins won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 138.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 140.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-10.5)Maryland Terrapins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.