Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f6147b69008645b0ec71a07af78ff75713e576979d78f9c3b24668a044ec51d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 44c | 43,496$19,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,487.82 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 56c | 16,692$9,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,347.48 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Under | 54c | 13,430$7,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,252.33 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 56c | 11,642$6,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,538.31 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 57c | 8,067$4,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 57c | 5,452$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.64 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 46c | 5,152$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.08 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 1c | 2,414$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Under | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Under | 51c | 518.11$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 55c | 482.32$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.28 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 57c | 330$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 324.91$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Over | 43c | 139.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Under | 26c | 134.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 46c | 111.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Over | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…254dbacked Over | 53c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 34.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 56c | 33.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 60c | 21.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 141.5this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland TerrapinsMaryland Terrapins won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 138.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 139.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-10.5)Maryland Terrapins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.