Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa833efbed9c43c3a35d217fff1c075961a43a55640f7d1b2c9b4c8bf642fe6fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryland Terrapinsof Iowa Hawkeyes, Maryland Terrapins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 4,039$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.06 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 3,723$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 2,621$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.28 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.01 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 1,395$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 1,183$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.26 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 52c | 865$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.8 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 428.81$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 246.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 136.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 34c | 114$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 112.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 92.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 22c | 78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 59.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 56.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 48c | 46.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Maryland Terrapins | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 49c | 39.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 50c | 39.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 38c | 36.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 29.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff7…0521backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 26.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Iowa Hawkeyes | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 20.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-10.5)this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland TerrapinsMaryland Terrapins won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 138.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 139.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 140.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 141.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.