Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2bf902a03557834e17eb0bf29b389b66f602486e891899954091b7e3cd63a9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 53c | 34,061$18,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,052.48 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 48c | 28,500$13,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,885 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Under | 51c | 21,519$10,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,974.69 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 48c | 18,408$8,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,613.9 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 11,071$5,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,020.05 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 9,959$5,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 45c | 4,352$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.81 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 54c | 3,860$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.2 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 44c | 2,038$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.48 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 47c | 746.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.62 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 55c | 676.24$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.93 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 510.04$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 48c | 427.53$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.29 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 48c | 398.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 56c | 167.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Over | 45c | 148.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 47c | 142.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Under | 9c | 121.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 44c | 119.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 78.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 54c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 56c | 49.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 55c | 39.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Under | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…c777backed Under | 55c | 27.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 140.5this page
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland TerrapinsMaryland Terrapins won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 138.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 139.5Over won
- Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-10.5)Maryland Terrapins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.