Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b1bf46f9e2bbf72d20bb7bcef98f904682383dca9abb1a89a3a2864ed586712
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Over | 2c | 1,677$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 45c | 143$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 45c | 129$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 45c | 94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Under | 45c | 94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 45c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 45c | 63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 56c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 56c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Over | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Over | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.