Euroleague · resolved market
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Qingdao Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf135fb61b194a05ee4536cd4ba00639bec3573f035b67399c3aa11927f76c8c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Eaglesof Liaoning Flying Leopards, Qingdao Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 59c | 1,572$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Qingdao Eagles | 41c | 952.53$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Qingdao Eagles | 53c | 700$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Qingdao Eagles | 42c | 521.83$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.66 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 51c | 154.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 51c | 134$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Qingdao Eagles | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Qingdao Eagles | 48c | 105.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Qingdao Eagles | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Qingdao Eagles | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Qingdao Eagles | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Qingdao Eagles | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Qingdao Eagles | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Qingdao Eagles | 43c | 24.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.