CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4479a31da3546a09545774a1c30e0e66b163b686d6f7b6011aeaea37f439d0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof fnatic, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed fnatic | 25c | 8,039$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.21 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked fnatic | 34c | 6,248$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.89 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed fnatic | 14c | 5,014$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed fnatic | 15c | 2,533$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.06 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked fnatic | 35c | 1,380$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.91 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…a627backed fnatic | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed fnatic | 35c | 1,165$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.33 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed fnatic | 20c | 1,136$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed fnatic | 47c | 1,027$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.78 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed fnatic | 27c | 1,000$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.36 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed fnatic | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed fnatic | 51c | 895.79$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Passion UA | 58c | 859.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.4 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Passion UA | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Passion UA | 61c | 759.67$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.1 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed fnatic | 17c | 733.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Passion UA | 58c | 558.62$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763d…d0f2backed fnatic | 19c | 535.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked fnatic | 37c | 440.45$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.97 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked fnatic | 11c | 413$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed fnatic | 17c | 405.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Passion UA | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…90cfbacked fnatic | 22c | 369.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…7175backed fnatic | 10c | 311$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Passion UA | 70c | 305.17$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed fnatic | 21c | 251.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked fnatic | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked fnatic | 48c | 188.07$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…25e1backed fnatic | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Passion UA | 60c | 167.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed fnatic | 42c | 155.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed fnatic | 35c | 146.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…d116backed fnatic | 25c | 142.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked fnatic | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed fnatic | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked fnatic | 29c | 133.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…2da5backed fnatic | 17c | 129.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52d…10c1backed fnatic | 12c | 127.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked Passion UA | 71c | 123.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Passion UA | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed fnatic | 29c | 106.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed fnatic | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed fnatic | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Passion UA | 45c | 95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Passion UA | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked Passion UA | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed Passion UA | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Passion UA | 44c | 78.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…6eebbacked fnatic | 18c | 72.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Passion UA | 55c | 70.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Passion UA | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…f7b1backed fnatic | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…5663backed fnatic | 67c | 62.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Passion UA | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0065…afe2backed fnatic | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked fnatic | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed fnatic | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed fnatic | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Passion UA | 44c | 42.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b21dbacked fnatic | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…31cabacked fnatic | 42c | 42.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Passion UA | 72c | 36.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Passion UA | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…d96dbacked Passion UA | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed fnatic | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed fnatic | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Passion UA | 73c | 32.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed fnatic | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed fnatic | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…50d3backed fnatic | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…fc20backed fnatic | 41c | 28.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…c5e9backed Passion UA | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Passion UA | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed fnatic | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked fnatic | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 59cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…79e4backed Passion UA | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb2…e990backed fnatic | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…ab74backed fnatic | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 138 | 65.9%91 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217c…a1f1backed fnatic | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…922ebacked fnatic | 55c | 18.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)Passion UA won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerPassion UA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.