CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fde4314c249f2fc8f2c697667e8f67bbbcd8bb0cc4c69387ca674fd90679ad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof fnatic, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked fnatic | 10c | 11,789$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.4 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed fnatic | 35c | 9,558$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,312.43 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked fnatic | 25c | 6,000$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.5 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed fnatic | 23c | 5,610$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.47 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Passion UA | 37c | 5,062$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.96 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Passion UA | 38c | 4,526$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.38 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked fnatic | 17c | 2,286$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.69 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…5548backed fnatic | 6c | 2,100$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed fnatic | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed fnatic | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Passion UA | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed fnatic | 38c | 950.15$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.15 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Passion UA | 59c | 914$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.58 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed fnatic | 7c | 893.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed fnatic | 15c | 775.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed fnatic | 63c | 775$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…cfedbacked fnatic | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…7cb0backed fnatic | 24c | 617.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed fnatic | 18c | 601.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked fnatic | 30c | 553.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.91 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed fnatic | 63c | 539.68$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed fnatic | 34c | 536.7$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked fnatic | 63c | 493.38$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.7 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed fnatic | 14c | 480.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked fnatic | 21c | 452.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Passion UA | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Passion UA | 74c | 400$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Passion UA | 58c | 345.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…953abacked fnatic | 14c | 320$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked fnatic | 23c | 318.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked fnatic | 63c | 301.59$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed fnatic | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked fnatic | 7c | 288.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed fnatic | 25c | 216$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked fnatic | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…d116backed fnatic | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked fnatic | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked fnatic | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed fnatic | 44c | 193.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…445dbacked Passion UA | 69c | 178.45$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed fnatic | 63c | 157.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Passion UA | 51c | 152.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed fnatic | 58c | 126.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed fnatic | 63c | 117.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed fnatic | 63c | 115.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Passion UA | 40c | 111$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked fnatic | 55c | 110.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked fnatic | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Passion UA | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed fnatic | 28c | 87.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Passion UA | 40c | 83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed fnatic | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…fe4ebacked fnatic | 25c | 76.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed fnatic | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb2…e990backed fnatic | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…78a0backed fnatic | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…2da5backed fnatic | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed fnatic | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Passion UA | 42c | 52.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked fnatic | 63c | 51.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed fnatic | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…82e5backed fnatic | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed fnatic | 60c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed fnatic | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked fnatic | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed fnatic | 60c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Passion UA | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Passion UA | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked fnatic | 60c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed fnatic | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…6388backed Passion UA | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…d96dbacked fnatic | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Passion UA | 39c | 25.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed fnatic | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked fnatic | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)Passion UA won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA - Map 1 WinnerPassion UA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.