NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65414f91c8d2cf0fbaf41ea998e2b2c12222e52343fea9fefe02b1cfc1232adb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pistons | 49c | 120,963$59,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,691.25 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bulls | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Bulls | 43c | 58,000$25,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,224.56 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pistons | 56c | 33,106$18,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,566.61 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls | 54c | 29,722$16,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,019.46 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Pistons | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.98 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 49c | 15,386$7,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,507.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Bulls | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls | 52c | 9,846$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120.09 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bulls | 49c | 9,179$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.67 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 53c | 8,631$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.56 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 55c | 3,996$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.53 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Pistons | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 55c | 2,936$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bulls | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pistons | 59c | 1,833$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.43 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Bulls | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pistons | 57c | 1,410$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.91 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Pistons | 48c | 1,231$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.86 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 47c | 934.04$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.04 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Bulls | 54c | 928.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 57c | 921$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.03 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 46c | 713.71$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Pistons | 53c | 663$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.87 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 48c | 627$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 52c | 625.53$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.07 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Pistons | 47c | 446.17$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.47 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Pistons | 50c | 405$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Bulls | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Bulls | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Pistons | 49c | 353.1$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.08 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Bulls | 56c | 349.54$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.74 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pistons | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pistons | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Bulls | 42c | 228.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Pistons | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bulls | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Bulls | 51c | 195$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 53c | 189.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Bulls | 52c | 188.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 50c | 187.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…6f35backed Bulls | 53c | 181.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bulls | 45c | 177.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Bulls | 51c | 176.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Bulls | 46c | 157.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pistons | 47c | 155.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Bulls | 53c | 151.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 46c | 151$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Bulls | 51c | 136.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Pistons | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pistons | 41c | 124.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Pistons | 59c | 124$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…a799backed Pistons | 48c | 112.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Pistons | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Bulls | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Pistons | 54c | 99.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Pistons | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Pistons | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Pistons | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Pistons | 60c | 83.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Pistons | 56c | 82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Bulls | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Pistons | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Bulls | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Bulls | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pistons | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Bulls | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed Pistons | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons | 54c | 61.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Pistons | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Bulls | 42c | 57.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Bulls | 51c | 57.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Bulls | 56c | 51.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Pistons | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…2957backed Pistons | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Bulls | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Bulls | 52c | 47.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Bulls | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Bulls | 41c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…dbcabacked Bulls | 45c | 45.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Pistons | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Pistons | 43c | 42.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 46c | 41.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Bulls | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Bulls | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0660…a61fbacked Pistons | 55c | 36.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pistons | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c2…2f0bbacked Bulls | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulls | 41c | 35.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Pistons | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Bulls | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Pistons | 40c | 33.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Bulls | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Pistons | 43c | 30.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Pistons | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Bulls | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)this page
- Bulls vs. PistonsPistons won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.