TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,338 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls55c11,079$6,093 inLost-$6,093.21,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons45c7,484$3,368 inWon+$4,116.23,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons46c5,394$2,467 inWon+$2,927.412,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls55c2,449$1,344 inLost-$1,343.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons44c2,024$884 inWon+$1,140.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons40c2,020$800 inWon+$1,2204,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f56…7a4ebacked Bulls52c1,860$967 inLost-$966.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Bulls61c1,639$1,000 inLost-$1,00015355.6%85 W · 68 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Bulls55c1,455$800 inLost-$80021143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bulls60c1,000$600 inLost-$60051651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Bulls57c516$292 inLost-$292.4419556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pistons45c500$225 inWon+$2752,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Pistons44c203.35$90 inWon+$112.9993849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons47c194.89$92 inWon+$103.293,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons41c125$51 inWon+$73.7580744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Pistons47c106.38$50 inWon+$56.3816945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Bulls10c100$10 inLost-$1017527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x820f…0ddcbacked Pistons11c100$11 inWon+$894656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pistons46c58$27 inWon+$31.323,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x884c…851fbacked Pistons41c50$21 inWon+$29.56232.3%20 W · 42 L-10.7wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Bulls55c45.45$25 inLost-$2519951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Pistons47c40.14$19 inWon+$21.2719242.7%82 W · 110 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Bulls57c35.09$20 inLost-$2029652.7%156 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8512…e70ebacked Bulls62c17$10 inLost-$10.493268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.