TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,852 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under50c22,312$11,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,090.781,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c4,762$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.982,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9602450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c3,224$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.859,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c3,133$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.323,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c2,004$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.965,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over48c2,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95016657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c1,553$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.311,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over49c1,218$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.8258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over41c1,090$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.971547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under52c1,011$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.281,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under59c1,008$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c900$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4472,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c500.89$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.444,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over51c460$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.61,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d41…dd43backed Over51c406.55$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over51c387$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.371,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under72c307.1$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5363745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c293.96$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…a1e5backed Over17c283$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over49c258$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.52,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Over51c245.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12522953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over44c239.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3893849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Under65c195.85$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.216752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over44c194$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3654351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under56c154$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.762,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c147.51$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.592,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over24c142.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.531,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8584…0436backed Over45c120.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over40c105$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4216550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under72c101.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1621642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over33c96.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2759141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over46c86.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over51c84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8423153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.962,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over50c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Over52c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.63551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under65c68.19$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.141,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under68c67.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3073445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.433147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.431754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.434254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked Over49c59.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.923655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over31c51.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2730616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Under68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9539736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over49c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5234053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Under60c48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24560%27 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7647948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e60…98e1backed Under52c46.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.623348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under56c37.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1836651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7156454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over44c34.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.982,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.727353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.727150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.720353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over49c28.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8650648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9b…d8afbacked Over51c26.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.282360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…9fcabacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1245251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7631250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1215953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7626648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8812545.6%57 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7625150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.