NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f285fb0e565ca4d51822f8df89cedd47ff40997ecba48dec072b57b455de7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 49c | 10,412$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,348.76 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 59c | 9,834$5,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.65 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 9,533$4,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202.51 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 42c | 2,017$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.09 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 53c | 1,542$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.26 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 39c | 1,535$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.65 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 1,001$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 43c | 932$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 52c | 676.54$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.8 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 600.35$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 57c | 504.08$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.91 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 39c | 401.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 62c | 143.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d774backed Under | 61c | 139.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 45c | 133.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Over | 39c | 128.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 50c | 115.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Over | 50c | 114.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 62c | 106.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 62c | 101.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 55c | 95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 94.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 83.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed Over | 54c | 79.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 62c | 77.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 38c | 53.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 44.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Over | 38c | 39.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Over | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…d8afbacked Over | 52c | 31.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 38c | 29.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…5dfabacked Over | 53c | 19.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5this page
- Bulls vs. PistonsPistons won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.