TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c42,830$22,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,232.511,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under54c14,936$7,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,943.4634654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c12,441$5,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,850.859,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over47c11,089$5,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2122,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c7,467$3,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,519.392,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c5,043$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.045,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over46c3,302$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.0358347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c3,238$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.773,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over45c2,565$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.7616657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8751,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over35c2,363$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.0448347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9202450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c1,654$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.324,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over47c1,334$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.821,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over47c1,321$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62142648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49021142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f64…098ebacked Over47c659.57$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.249556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over47c400$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1862,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19221858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over47c399.7$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.862,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Under65c397.8$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.36752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c280.38$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.212,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Over46c280$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.87341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over29c239$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Over44c235$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.559647.9%46 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over39c233.43$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.043,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Over47c218$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.419167%61 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012650%63 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over41c191.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1493849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over30c175.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8988845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over31c170.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.411,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over35c170.03$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4617035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.234451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under65c155.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1422648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under54c133.58$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4520456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under59c130.05$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.051,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked Over46c124.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.733655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over46c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.520353.7%109 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under57c109$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.875345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-49.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4854351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4daa…6920backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236d…5e45backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.048458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a0…1baebacked Under50c88.26$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.871172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+53.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over48c84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3223153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6921…2345backed Under60c83.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5117041.8%71 W · 99 L-12.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.662349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over37c76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2971245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over47c72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1565…3a47backed Over37c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over39c67.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.221,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over38c66.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2593036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.227350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.873445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.233147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.231754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.234254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd9b…d8afbacked Over48c55.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.512360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over36c54.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Over45c51.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2319346.6%90 W · 103 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Over40c50.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017853.4%95 W · 83 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f2…9b10backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Over43c49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.072857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over47c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5634053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over47c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5647948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f7…db44backed Under55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+69.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Over47c44.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8419147.1%90 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over39c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.382,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over26c42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.923,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under58c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.648450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b94…94e4backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over39c40.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.952052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.228852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.231551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over48c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2420456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under59c37.71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4459141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2836651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over48c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2815051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4813957.6%80 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6098…d746backed Over42c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.862814.3%4 W · 24 L-9.8wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-72.9%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed Over47c31.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.864141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.423753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.422048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.432649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.423850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.427251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.425250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.127353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.127150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over47c29.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8650648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Over46c28.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9512727.6%35 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.