NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a9b3cf12cbb36540026a07cbe0337fb8f141b854fc665465f2ee6eee4f67108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Bulls | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 52c | 42,532$22,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,449.83 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Bulls | 53c | 38,390$20,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,320.95 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 49c | 30,273$14,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,570.26 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 48c | 12,489$5,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,538.13 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls | 51c | 10,047$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.42 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 46c | 9,835$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 53c | 8,120$4,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.67 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Bulls | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 48c | 6,131$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 49c | 5,739$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.74 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Bulls | 49c | 5,555$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.93 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Pistons | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…b5c5backed Bulls | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bulls | 58c | 3,959$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.77 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 46c | 3,526$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.54 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 47c | 3,440$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.83 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pistons | 52c | 3,061$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.72 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 46c | 2,662$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Pistons | 40c | 2,049$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.12 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Pistons | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Bulls | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Bulls | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 49c | 1,786$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.3 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 33c | 1,781$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,775$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.55 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pistons | 50c | 1,700$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.39 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Bulls | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls | 52c | 1,489$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.25 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Bulls | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Pistons | 34c | 1,178$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.66 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Pistons | 46c | 1,067$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.28 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 48c | 1,021$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.67 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 49c | 841$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.91 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 54c | 839.99$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons | 17c | 760$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.8 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…4a26backed Pistons | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pistons | 48c | 650$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Pistons | 45c | 637.27$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.2 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Bulls | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Pistons | 43c | 546.51$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.51 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bulls | 59c | 508.71$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.13 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Bulls | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.97 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Pistons | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pistons | 46c | 451.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.56 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Pistons | 31c | 392$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.69 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac5…fb4fbacked Pistons | 50c | 382$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…b570backed Bulls | 51c | 382$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Bulls | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Bulls | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Bulls | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Bulls | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Pistons | 45c | 299.65$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.54 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Pistons | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bulls | 49c | 285.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Pistons | 48c | 284.64$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.01 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Pistons | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Pistons | 43c | 233.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Pistons | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pistons | 50c | 227.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bulls | 49c | 221.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Pistons | 42c | 220$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bulls | 23c | 212$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Pistons | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bulls | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…aa17backed Bulls | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bulls | 60c | 203.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bulls | 49c | 202$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bulls | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Pistons | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Pistons | 51c | 194.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked Pistons | 49c | 188.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Pistons | 48c | 185.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Bulls | 61c | 180.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Pistons | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pistons | 48c | 161$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bulls | 58c | 145.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Bulls | 50c | 112.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pistons | 48c | 102.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Pistons | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bulls | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls | 53c | 101.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Bulls | 66c | 98.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Pistons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 280 | 63.6%178 W · 102 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed Bulls | 53c | 94.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Bulls | 58c | 86.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Bulls | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Pistons | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Bulls | 46c | 73.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Pistons | 37c | 70.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Pistons | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Bulls | 58c | 68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bulls | 51c | 66.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Pistons | 49c | 66.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 45c | 63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Bulls | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)this page
- Bulls vs. PistonsPistons won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.