Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Africa win on 2025-11-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6762c382c93c7a3a23a5e9bbc25b86c2e4a0ff9e6da7965efa8cc9a21f38f815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 20,948$11,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,460.26 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 7,902$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.89 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 46c | 3,200$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 2,918$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.54 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 58c | 2,898$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.23 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 57c | 2,750$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.47 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 63cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 49c | 2,374$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.94 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ad…e1e5backed No | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 2,100$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.19 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 1,510$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.73 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…4957backed Yes | 60c | 1,451$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 1,360$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.53 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed No | 43c | 1,300$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.36 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,286$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.09 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 12c | 1,111$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 34c | 760.68$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.77 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 39c | 682.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.7 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 44c | 666.44$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 41c | 647.84$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…d919backed Yes | 49c | 579.46$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 58c | 532.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.32 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 9c | 432.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 56c | 429.99$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 58c | 425$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 25c | 418.91$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…6bfcbacked Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 30c | 381.52$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 38c | 342.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 46c | 340$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed No | 44c | 329.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 39c | 302.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229e…3cb2backed Yes | 55c | 292.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked No | 48c | 289.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 48c | 259.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 7c | 236.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 41c | 222.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 60c | 165.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 62c | 161.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 62c | 151.63$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 46c | 149.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 42c | 149.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Yes | 59c | 143.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked No | 44c | 135.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed No | 41c | 133.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed No | 46c | 117.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 41c | 106.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 40c | 95.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed No | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…9e3dbacked Yes | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes | 61c | 78.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes | 55c | 74.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 45c | 73.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 50c | 73.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a94…ed73backed Yes | 55c | 72.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 61c | 72.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 41c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 40c | 70.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 40c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 54c | 55.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 194 | 61.3%119 W · 75 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ef…1be5backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 40c | 46.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 42c | 42.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…f554backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…ee09backed No | 32c | 32.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…a837backed Yes | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked No | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed No | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192e…3e13backed No | 41c | 29.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 48c | 29.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 62c | 28.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…5b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 22.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…c178backed Yes | 68c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…97f3backed Yes | 59c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…fb0dbacked Yes | 54c | 20.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Africa win on 2025-11-15?this page
- Will South Africa vs. Zambia end in a draw?No won
- Will Zambia win on 2025-11-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.