TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Jazz, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,504,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,638,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,504,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies12c82,574$10,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,203.561,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz29c54,354$15,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,617.471,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Jazz22c47,722$10,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,261.7421944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies53c40,889$21,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,741.271,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Jazz30c40,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,00017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies71c34,043$24,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,103.1987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies70c23,116$16,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,181.131,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf963…0637backed Grizzlies73c20,680$15,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,096.44742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies71c20,160$14,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,313.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Jazz29c20,134$5,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,296.6719351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Grizzlies1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Jazz29c20,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,10031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Grizzlies70c20,000$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,099.9518045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jazz28c20,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,399.8151350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies71c18,409$13,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,070.052,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jazz60c18,130$10,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,25259646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Grizzlies51c15,820$8,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,068.018343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Grizzlies72c15,551$11,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,142.241,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jazz29c15,000$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,649.881,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies41c14,261$5,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,813.552,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Grizzlies72c13,909$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz28c13,423$3,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,654.547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed Jazz37c11,927$4,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,464.337259.7%43 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Grizzlies40c11,880$4,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,752.1527917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz30c11,727$3,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,254.13,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies70c11,227$7,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,862.351,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Grizzlies72c10,409$7,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,494.4138148.6%185 W · 196 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Jazz25c10,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies30c8,594$2,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.7581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Jazz16c8,586$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,247.173036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Grizzlies33c8,466$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.613625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Jazz60c8,331$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,332.29852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Jazz39c8,155$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,934.14247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies45c8,072$3,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,602.81,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb632…7ec5backed Jazz78c7,280$5,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.927959.5%47 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fb…0be6backed Jazz29c7,200$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1121250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Grizzlies70c7,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Grizzlies71c6,900$4,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.1824048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Grizzlies55c6,788$3,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,736.1976746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Jazz30c6,666$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,652.2520352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Grizzlies69c6,632$4,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,602.1639349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Grizzlies71c6,100$4,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,31323348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Jazz29c5,994$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,255.9216942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Grizzlies52c5,795$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Grizzlies70c5,729$4,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,027.892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Grizzlies72c5,608$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,011.7639958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Jazz29c5,396$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,831.027252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Grizzlies71c5,265$3,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,713.544459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb560…60d6backed Grizzlies70c5,107$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,574.65736.8%21 W · 36 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Grizzlies70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50056945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz24c5,000$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7901,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9640…d0e8backed Grizzlies70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz58c5,000$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.9948845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Grizzlies74c4,848$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6008951.7%46 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz59c4,843$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.864,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Jazz30c4,714$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.731,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Grizzlies70c4,529$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,170.2918518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Grizzlies63c4,037$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.8573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz30c3,644$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,564.7527424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d3…c5afbacked Grizzlies72c3,600$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5925347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0425…9b90backed Grizzlies72c3,600$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5922958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Jazz27c3,600$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,61611649.1%57 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Grizzlies51c3,165$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60048132.6%157 W · 324 L-2.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Jazz44c3,158$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.2819388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Grizzlies31c3,019$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.1489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Jazz30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…1e8bbacked Jazz28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1601353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Grizzlies40c3,000$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21016540%66 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Jazz28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.9922637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Jazz30c2,956$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.27347.9%35 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Jazz65c2,951$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.8621055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz27c2,921$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.9161835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Grizzlies71c2,900$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0598361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Jazz57c2,883$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.1443958.8%258 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies70c2,839$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Jazz36c2,808$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.7727939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f52…8cbbbacked Grizzlies72c2,800$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick65cpaid-50.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5572…984ebacked Jazz44c2,716$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.151540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Grizzlies5c2,651$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.511,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Jazz30c2,563$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.3313935.3%49 W · 90 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Grizzlies31c2,528$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.0613442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c13…a07ebacked Jazz30c2,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Grizzlies64c2,444$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.312846.9%60 W · 68 L+13.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x81cb…a228backed Jazz30c2,365$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.421464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+75.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Grizzlies34c2,201$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.616864.3%108 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Jazz49c2,199$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.3622247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Grizzlies71c2,180$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54815855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1967…9750backed Jazz29c2,125$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Grizzlies39c2,098$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.8111834.7%41 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a3…1d40backed Jazz30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4001250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Jazz15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d62…2fe8backed Jazz30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4003100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+108.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Grizzlies70c1,991$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.9715945.9%73 W · 86 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Grizzlies76c1,976$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.522542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz29c1,843$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.641,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz30c1,824$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.0650838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x169c…ced1backed Jazz30c1,800$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Jazz30c1,798$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.3614953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jazz36c1,776$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.