NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9af7aedc47513c9600df691a4bb45effc1c3e8d2182e4448d0777f5d23498519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Over | 51c | 18,624$9,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,125.53 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 9,388$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 4,978$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Under | 48c | 1,356$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.77 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 1,305$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.6 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 816.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Over | 49c | 689.8$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.8 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 562.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.07 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Under | 54c | 552.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 300.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 49c | 286$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 49c | 252$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 48c | 238.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 43c | 193$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 45c | 137$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 49c | 121.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 43c | 102$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 43c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked Over | 57c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Under | 49c | 63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 52.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Over | 57c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Over | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 57c | 35.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Over | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Over | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Over | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. GrizzliesJazz won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.