TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Grizzlies, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies49c70,428$34,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,325.322,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Jazz52c44,444$23,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,333.1217354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jazz51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,599.941,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Jazz51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,699.9819351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jazz50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Jazz51c19,000$9,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,309.9514052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Grizzlies49c17,371$8,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,51248546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c65…81d2backed Grizzlies49c12,120$5,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,939366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b5…83f4backed Grizzlies49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef9…ef4ebacked Grizzlies49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Grizzlies50c9,437$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75012341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8475…0eeabacked Grizzlies49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbcd…0c9fbacked Grizzlies49c8,127$3,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,982540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz49c7,644$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,864.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234c…9ee0backed Grizzlies49c7,551$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz50c6,497$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,277.231,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies49c5,644$2,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.34,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies48c5,015$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.389050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Jazz51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Grizzlies49c4,949$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4251844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…80c3backed Grizzlies51c4,327$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a6f…a51fbacked Grizzlies49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Grizzlies49c3,904$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9135437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Grizzlies49c3,859$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89112151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz51c3,603$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.724,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b5…8447backed Grizzlies49c2,704$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaceb…6f8ebacked Grizzlies48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002055%11 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Jazz51c1,999$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.5251753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.081,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz50c1,878$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.472,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc33…3127backed Grizzlies49c1,776$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8701566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c72…1ccbbacked Grizzlies49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-67.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz52c1,515$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.21,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies51c1,234$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.441,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf78e…0956backed Jazz64c1,225$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4413372.7%24 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies36c1,196$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Grizzlies50c1,005$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.5236351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01a1…88f3backed Grizzlies48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4805858.6%34 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Jazz52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48014356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Grizzlies49c714.29$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35016837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Jazz52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33625039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed Jazz52c649.52$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.772763%17 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Grizzlies49c608.37$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.121443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Jazz51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Grizzlies50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Jazz52c485.04$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0424556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Grizzlies51c422.06$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2511946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Grizzlies49c410$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.940648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Jazz51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19640947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Jazz51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1665649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Jazz52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6218556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…8416backed Jazz52c344.23$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.231533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1375…4c69backed Jazz55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7311839.8%47 W · 71 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Grizzlies51c215.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11032450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Grizzlies50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Jazz51c165.08$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8936143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Jazz64c164.95$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.956150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Jazz51c160.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7863142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Grizzlies39c146$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9452643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Jazz52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2317356.6%98 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Jazz50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Jazz52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.64560%27 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3908…20eabacked Grizzlies49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Jazz51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Grizzlies49c68.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.762450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5681…b253backed Jazz52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.313661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Jazz52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3115752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa548…1fd5backed Jazz52c61.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.545660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd354…71e3backed Jazz52c55.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.721369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Jazz52c54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.921,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies49c53.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.63,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Jazz51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Grizzlies48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2480146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cdb…7a7abacked Grizzlies49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f7…1cddbacked Grizzlies49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.56741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Grizzlies49c46.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.019336.6%34 W · 59 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ae3…3b2dbacked Jazz52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb990…3d1cbacked Grizzlies50c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Grizzlies49c36.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.989645.8%44 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd5…5e92backed Grizzlies47c34.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed Grizzlies50c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Grizzlies50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Grizzlies40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.