NBA · resolved market
Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7051b089df83be42bbe0f47a02319a09ddb2cd989c1f61c2d978ae73865518c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Grizzlies, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz | 56c | 11,740$6,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.68 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 5,136$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 44c | 4,001$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.33 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,726$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.44 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Jazz | 56c | 2,057$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.07 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,960$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Jazz | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.16 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 636$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 291.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Grizzlies | 44c | 216.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Jazz | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 178.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…24a5backed Jazz | 57c | 175.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.56 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Jazz | 54c | 152$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Jazz | 56c | 144$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Jazz | 56c | 113$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Grizzlies | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Jazz | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies | 44c | 103.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Grizzlies | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Jazz | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Jazz | 56c | 94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Jazz | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Jazz | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Grizzlies | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Jazz | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Grizzlies | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…58b0backed Grizzlies | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Grizzlies | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Jazz | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Grizzlies | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 45c | 34.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Grizzlies | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Grizzlies | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Grizzlies | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Grizzlies | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Grizzlies | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Grizzlies | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Grizzlies | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Jazz | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. GrizzliesJazz won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.