NBA · resolved market
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x867dae24ae32932ccc7015908e0a13bed4bbf2eb2b728c8586da7fb3661b02c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Grizzlies, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Jazz | 46c | 6,671$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,602.1 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 6,002$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.13 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Jazz | 48c | 6,000$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.87 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…922cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 4,544$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 47c | 4,185$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…6373backed Grizzlies | 53c | 3,208$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,957$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.25 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6f…a51fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 1,717$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 47c | 1,534$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Jazz | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Jazz | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.57 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Grizzlies | 51c | 980.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jazz | 46c | 882.53$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.15 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 860$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.4 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Grizzlies | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Grizzlies | 54c | 595$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.3 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Grizzlies | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…64cabacked Jazz | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 238$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Jazz | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Jazz | 50c | 198.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 190.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Jazz | 47c | 176.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz | 46c | 140.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies | 50c | 121.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Grizzlies | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Grizzlies | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Jazz | 48c | 95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Grizzlies | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Jazz | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Jazz | 46c | 89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Jazz | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Jazz | 47c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jazz | 47c | 81.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies | 53c | 81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Grizzlies | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Jazz | 48c | 68.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Grizzlies | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Grizzlies | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Grizzlies | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Jazz | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…e856backed Grizzlies | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Jazz | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Grizzlies | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Jazz | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Grizzlies | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Grizzlies | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Grizzlies | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Grizzlies | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Grizzlies | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Grizzlies | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Grizzlies | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Grizzlies | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Grizzlies | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 25.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Grizzlies | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…13b7backed Grizzlies | 52c | 24.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Grizzlies | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4aa…947cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 22.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Grizzlies | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fff…ac2ebacked Jazz | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…ea17backed Jazz | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9c…aaf9backed Grizzlies | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. GrizzliesJazz won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 242.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5Over won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.