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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Seton Hall Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seton Hall Piratesof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Seton Hall Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,431 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Seton Hall Pirates16c8,394$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,050.9312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked North Carolina State Wolfpack61c7,484$4,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,557.281,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Seton Hall Pirates37c6,513$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,097.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Seton Hall Pirates19c6,122$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,976.0212853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack50c2,933$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.462,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack53c2,928$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,561.715,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Seton Hall Pirates17c2,786$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.851656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+46.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Seton Hall Pirates43c2,112$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seton Hall Pirates62c1,688$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.685,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Seton Hall Pirates19c1,300$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0533554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Seton Hall Pirates22c1,250$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.493534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Seton Hall Pirates16c1,077$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.6552928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Seton Hall Pirates47c1,065$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.224052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa9…1351backed Seton Hall Pirates37c1,011$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.922222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Seton Hall Pirates13c937$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.195556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+36%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack75c915.93$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.51,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Seton Hall Pirates15c879.34$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.441,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Seton Hall Pirates16c874.69$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.691741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Seton Hall Pirates21c575.46$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4565949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33b9…ed3abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack7c447.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.24037.5%15 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Seton Hall Pirates18c349.45$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.632,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed North Carolina State Wolfpack43c341.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3545644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf6…d7f7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack65c307.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Seton Hall Pirates18c295$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.024,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed North Carolina State Wolfpack60c262.48$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.322835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1347143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Seton Hall Pirates20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+70%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Seton Hall Pirates14c173.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+61.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Seton Hall Pirates49c173.44$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.443,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed North Carolina State Wolfpack78c150$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1174845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Seton Hall Pirates20c144.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9432337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Seton Hall Pirates71c141.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2739144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe286…6896backed Seton Hall Pirates44c113.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.921127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffc5…616ebacked Seton Hall Pirates37c112.92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina State Wolfpack74c106$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.772,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Seton Hall Pirates16c105.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.381,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed North Carolina State Wolfpack61c104.73$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1619057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Seton Hall Pirates17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3b…b511backed North Carolina State Wolfpack80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.3wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-76.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Seton Hall Pirates19c89.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.81,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Seton Hall Pirates20c71.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.963964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f4b…bed4backed North Carolina State Wolfpack26c65.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dea…db3bbacked Seton Hall Pirates38c53.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Seton Hall Pirates43c46.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.884447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc97a…dbe3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack64c42.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Seton Hall Pirates69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.235750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed North Carolina State Wolfpack37c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.483151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seton Hall Pirates42c33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.061,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1192…a1bdbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack66c24.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e25…97f3backed Seton Hall Pirates79c15.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.