TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Saints vs. Dolphins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dolphinsof Saints, Dolphins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$748,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$914,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $748,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Saints30c90,000$27,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,399.9831240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Dolphins71c88,281$62,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,927.046248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Saints30c60,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0005850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Dolphins70c57,056$39,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,160.3347348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Saints30c50,516$15,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,154.7217041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Dolphins70c33,034$23,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,910.076459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Saints3c27,414$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.7610026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Dolphins69c25,000$17,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,749.9913654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Saints29c24,476$7,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,098.1216955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Saints31c19,000$5,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,89011168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Dolphins69c17,093$11,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,240.1144652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Dolphins70c15,537$10,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,661.0620755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Saints11c14,658$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.2573651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Saints9c14,536$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.6675852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8166…6770backed Dolphins70c12,770$8,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,814.941361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Saints29c10,621$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,080.0224652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Saints29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90030743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Saints4c8,590$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.6768446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaefe…1e4abacked Dolphins70c8,525$5,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.451957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saints4c8,243$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3731543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Saints6c8,237$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.9650242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Saints10c7,830$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.5511643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Saints30c6,992$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.0814951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Dolphins73c6,527$4,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.995246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Saints16c6,273$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.720026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ca…ae94backed Dolphins70c6,040$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9bd…2e21backed Saints30c6,017$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Saints1c6,014$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.14980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Dolphins74c5,196$3,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.1828151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Dolphins70c4,613$3,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.953348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Saints16c4,404$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.8530043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Saints4c3,600$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3419235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Saints29c3,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0152334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dolphins78c3,392$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.223850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Saints31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Saints30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Dolphins70c2,840$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.892937.9%11 W · 18 L-8.4wins-0.29per pick67cpaid-49.1%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Saints23c2,714$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.1131854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Dolphins70c2,520$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7562250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Dolphins69c2,496$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.8514154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…4b9dbacked Dolphins71c2,496$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.773630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Saints2c2,489$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.391486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Saints29c2,238$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.111,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked Dolphins70c2,098$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.452864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Saints29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58011452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Saints31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6207626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked Saints30c1,837$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Saints31c1,800$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.9614443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Saints5c1,736$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0320757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Saints17c1,734$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c4d…4414backed Dolphins70c1,714$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Saints30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0914035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Saints15c1,657$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.488946.1%41 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ce…7180backed Saints31c1,645$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Saints4c1,581$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.614215.5%22 W · 120 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…1ebbbacked Saints31c1,560$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Saints6c1,554$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020851%106 W · 102 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Saints30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Saints29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4357530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dolphins71c1,478$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.771,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Dolphins71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.452556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Saints13c1,244$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5664747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe13e…c564backed Saints29c1,222$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.382339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Saints9c1,209$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.691723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Saints1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.114311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Dolphins69c1,012$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.553253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Dolphins69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31065048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dolphins69c940$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.414366.4%95 W · 48 L+13.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Dolphins70c907$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.120760.9%126 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Saints29c904.73$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2932050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a25…3598backed Dolphins79c862.55$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.761573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Dolphins70c824.88$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.4715352.3%80 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Saints25c822.78$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.158736.8%32 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Saints29c794.97$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5424054.6%131 W · 109 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Saints29c794.87$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.7683447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Dolphins69c730$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.312151.2%62 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed Saints18c658.62$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9da3…6f8ebacked Saints30c650.17$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a5…9f10backed Dolphins71c643.66$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089d…c7c9backed Dolphins70c642.86$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.863868.4%26 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0192…a6debacked Saints30c642.4$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cae…b54ebacked Saints30c638.8$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f1…ec12backed Dolphins71c638.03$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x343b…b1d7backed Dolphins71c636.62$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0a…8f8ebacked Dolphins71c635.21$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0211…c2ecbacked Dolphins71c633.8$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0623…876bbacked Saints30c632.77$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd64…59a9backed Saints30c629.2$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc15c…3662backed Saints30c627.5$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdad3…fcecbacked Saints30c623.23$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2256…3453backed Dolphins71c616.9$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9398…17abbacked Dolphins71c615.49$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…1170backed Dolphins71c614.08$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa464…beadbacked Dolphins71c612.68$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ca…6a32backed Saints30c605.33$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb08…e121backed Saints30c600.17$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfda…57f9backed Dolphins69c599.98$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8110…af40backed Dolphins71c595.77$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8c…54ebbacked Saints30c592.73$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.82520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Saints30c550$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16512133.9%41 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.