NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7aaa38fddf1d03f45d67f0bed8c7b2b95bb3bfab6c2010f2d1bd8ef853fa0b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Raiders, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $945,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $985,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $945,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Raiders | 20c | 162,171$33,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,234.03 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raiders | 20c | 155,327$30,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,748.92 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Chargers | 73c | 100,000$73,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Chargers | 78c | 80,218$62,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,947.97 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raiders | 16c | 60,927$9,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,596.73 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raiders | 23c | 34,249$8,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,014.57 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raiders | 26c | 33,526$8,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,690.29 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Chargers | 72c | 25,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Chargers | 76c | 23,984$18,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,675.07 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Raiders | 28c | 18,957$5,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,307.95 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Raiders | 0c | 17,280$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raiders | 18c | 15,832$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.72 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chargers | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Chargers | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Raiders | 20c | 14,995$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raiders | 18c | 14,816$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.88 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Raiders | 1c | 10,116$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Chargers | 79c | 6,610$5,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.8 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raiders | 10c | 6,286$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.71 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raiders | 16c | 5,963$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.72 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raiders | 14c | 5,742$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.25 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Raiders | 1c | 5,674$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Chargers | 80c | 5,525$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.9 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…3993backed Raiders | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Chargers | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Raiders | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Chargers | 80c | 4,375$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Chargers | 73c | 4,350$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.5 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Raiders | 26c | 4,349$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.91 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Raiders | 7c | 4,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Chargers | 78c | 4,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Raiders | 1c | 4,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raiders | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raiders | 14c | 3,870$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.63 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…57b3backed Raiders | 15c | 3,759$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raiders | 12c | 3,409$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.11 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Raiders | 18c | 3,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Raiders | 15c | 3,330$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Chargers | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Raiders | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Raiders | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Raiders | 4c | 2,900$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…6e1dbacked Raiders | 18c | 2,851$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a3d3backed Raiders | 18c | 2,684$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Raiders | 19c | 2,600$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Raiders | 20c | 2,536$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.21 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Raiders | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raiders | 19c | 2,436$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.77 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Chargers | 80c | 2,125$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Chargers | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Raiders | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Raiders | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Chargers | 77c | 2,000$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Chargers | 78c | 1,933$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.07 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Raiders | 4c | 1,863$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Raiders | 19c | 1,800$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Raiders | 20c | 1,750$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…6e9ebacked Raiders | 18c | 1,700$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Raiders | 13c | 1,649$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.31 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raiders | 14c | 1,606$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.93 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Raiders | 14c | 1,600$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe79…7be4backed Raiders | 18c | 1,562$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…c0d6backed Raiders | 1c | 1,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…35c4backed Raiders | 20c | 1,499$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Raiders | 17c | 1,427$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.38 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Raiders | 19c | 1,286$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.73 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Raiders | 17c | 1,273$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.27 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Raiders | 19c | 1,200$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Raiders | 11c | 1,081$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Chargers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raiders | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Raiders | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Raiders | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Raiders | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Raiders | 18c | 999.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Raiders | 17c | 989.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raiders | 6c | 953.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raiders | 18c | 877.77$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Chargers | 80c | 862$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Raiders | 7c | 818.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Raiders | 17c | 812.02$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked Raiders | 12c | 783.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raiders | 11c | 726.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7b…edecbacked Raiders | 28c | 723.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Raiders | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Raiders | 9c | 675.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…0e37backed Raiders | 14c | 629.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Raiders | 17c | 599.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Raiders | 17c | 592.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Raiders | 13c | 579.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Raiders | 10c | 544.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…f436backed Raiders | 18c | 539.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Raiders | 20c | 517.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Raiders | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Chargers | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Raiders | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Raiders | 3c | 461.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 10.1%9 W · 80 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…3e48backed Raiders | 4c | 450.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Raiders | 10c | 446.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Raiders | 25c | 415$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raiders vs. Chargersthis page
- Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 32.5Over won
- Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5Over won
- Spread: Chargers (-10.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Chargers (-13.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Chargers (-9.5)Chargers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.