NFL · resolved market
Spread: Chargers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0bfc8512f6760be53fca873a8cd0b9f4712e1020bb4a7622e0cdbf7e5f29552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Chargers, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Raiders | 51c | 52,913$26,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,786.56 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Chargers | 50c | 43,975$22,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,931.83 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chargers | 49c | 42,184$20,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,513.81 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Raiders | 51c | 40,819$20,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,765.69 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raiders | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Chargers | 50c | 36,000$18,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,940 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raiders | 50c | 34,398$17,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,198.79 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chargers | 49c | 13,107$6,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,684.37 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Chargers | 49c | 10,789$5,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.18 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa73…496fbacked Chargers | 50c | 10,180$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…0369backed Raiders | 50c | 10,180$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,090 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chargers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raiders | 49c | 9,753$4,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,748.83 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chargers | 51c | 9,518$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.06 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Raiders | 49c | 6,646$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.33 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Chargers | 50c | 5,988$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raiders | 49c | 5,473$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.43 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Chargers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Chargers | 51c | 4,915$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.59 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raiders | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Chargers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Chargers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Chargers | 51c | 3,400$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Chargers | 51c | 2,719$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.54 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Chargers | 50c | 2,405$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.5 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Chargers | 52c | 2,250$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Chargers | 53c | 1,750$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.5 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Chargers | 51c | 1,729$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.21 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Raiders | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Chargers | 49c | 1,494$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.7 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Chargers | 50c | 1,321$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.39 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Chargers | 49c | 1,134$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.85 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raiders | 50c | 1,009$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.5 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Chargers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Raiders | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Raiders | 52c | 962.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raiders | 49c | 791.67$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.5 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Chargers | 51c | 719.23$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Chargers | 50c | 646.82$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.41 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Raiders | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raiders | 48c | 556.94$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.33 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raiders | 39c | 530.67$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.81 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raiders | 41c | 530$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Raiders | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Raiders | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Chargers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Chargers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raiders | 66c | 337$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.58 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raiders | 50c | 248.79$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raiders | 47c | 215.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Chargers | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…85eebacked Raiders | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Raiders | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…b176backed Chargers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Raiders | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Raiders | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Raiders | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Chargers | 50c | 179.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Raiders | 50c | 175.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Chargers | 50c | 175$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Chargers | 49c | 167.21$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Chargers | 50c | 164.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Raiders | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Raiders | 47c | 156$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Chargers | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…c448backed Raiders | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…ba36backed Chargers | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Chargers | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Chargers | 50c | 118.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Raiders | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Chargers | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Raiders | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Raiders | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Raiders | 52c | 102.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Raiders | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Chargers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Raiders | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Raiders | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Chargers | 51c | 98.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Raiders | 49c | 94.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Chargers | 50c | 82.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Chargers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b56…c887backed Chargers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Chargers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Chargers | 51c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Chargers | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Raiders | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed Raiders | 51c | 56.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Raiders | 49c | 51.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Chargers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Chargers | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Chargers | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf995…307abacked Raiders | 51c | 40.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…e67ebacked Chargers | 50c | 40.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Raiders | 52c | 40.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Raiders | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Chargers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed Chargers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Raiders | 51c | 37.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Raiders | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chargers (-9.5)this page
- Raiders vs. ChargersChargers won
- Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 32.5Over won
- Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5Over won
- Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5Over won
- Spread: Chargers (-10.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Chargers (-13.5)Chargers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.