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College Football · resolved market

Miami vs. Pittsburgh

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miamiof Miami, Pittsburgh
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$220,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Miami69c51,494$35,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,140.652449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Pittsburgh33c47,756$15,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,615.0432745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Pittsburgh31c35,446$10,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,988.1111846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Pittsburgh32c30,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6003542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Miami68c20,461$13,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,547.638549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Pittsburgh32c17,500$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6007545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Miami67c11,000$7,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,63052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Miami67c10,721$7,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,537.9893548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Miami67c9,300$6,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06920450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Miami69c6,033$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.329249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Miami68c5,022$3,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.0481847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Miami68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60029055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Pittsburgh32c4,500$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pittsburgh33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32011541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Miami67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8255942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Miami67c2,420$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.617655.1%97 W · 79 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh19c2,333$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.0713933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Miami68c2,053$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.9110851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Miami68c2,040$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.7186243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Pittsburgh33c1,805$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Pittsburgh30c1,804$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.3734529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Miami69c1,734$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.2421348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Miami67c1,713$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.192,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pittsburgh9c1,632$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8740541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1dd…903fbacked Pittsburgh31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Pittsburgh33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49517837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Miami69c1,424$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.4417361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami77c1,407$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.7355350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Miami67c1,388$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.3458850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf9…5d1bbacked Pittsburgh7c1,342$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Pittsburgh23c1,327$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005028%14 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh7c1,260$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8821838.5%84 W · 134 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e8…2867backed Pittsburgh5c1,195$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6080%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa5…f206backed Miami70c1,143$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pittsburgh10c1,140$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Miami68c1,101$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb654…16e2backed Pittsburgh31c1,097$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-34.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Pittsburgh32c1,094$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350110%0 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Miami68c1,062$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.8849443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Miami67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3307448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0679…e5aabacked Miami72c1,000$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Pittsburgh32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Pittsburgh32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32012450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Pittsburgh32c992.65$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.6512055%66 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6428…bc3cbacked Pittsburgh31c969$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Pittsburgh31c958.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Pittsburgh29c888$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.524551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Miami71c844.13$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.826244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Pittsburgh30c841.99$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.620757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Pittsburgh12c813$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.561428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pittsburgh10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Pittsburgh30c616.67$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Pittsburgh31c549.87$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1695147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pittsburgh19c538.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5464841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Pittsburgh34c530$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.26241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Miami71c525.96$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Pittsburgh31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1557447.3%35 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Miami68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16013242.4%56 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Pittsburgh32c458.97$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8713845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Miami69c394.76$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2528440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Miami72c358.44$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bd9…9ef5backed Miami71c350.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Miami69c303.85$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937830.8%24 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pittsburgh7c303.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…6ccdbacked Pittsburgh26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ed…c5a4backed Pittsburgh34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Pittsburgh31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Miami70c283.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.710664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Miami71c282$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6617443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Pittsburgh36c277.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.486023.3%14 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Pittsburgh30c254$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5228032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Miami69c249.7$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.15520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-70.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Pittsburgh34c220.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756650%33 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Pittsburgh31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Pittsburgh32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6442244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Miami68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Pittsburgh30c180$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh13c177.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4862943.6%274 W · 355 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Pittsburgh32c174.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.958142%34 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf34f…4d6ebacked Miami69c173.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.911566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…129ebacked Pittsburgh32c168.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7d…928abacked Pittsburgh30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+59.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2f38backed Pittsburgh32c163.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Pittsburgh32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.23948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Miami68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.069154.9%50 W · 41 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01db…16e3backed Miami70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Pittsburgh18c139.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1726939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f6a…2b1dbacked Pittsburgh31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Pittsburgh33c119.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0326846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda53…9209backed Miami76c109$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Miami71c102.18$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.634652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Miami68c101.02$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3326940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f44…bc79backed Pittsburgh31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Miami59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5b…8882backed Pittsburgh31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314822.9%11 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miami69c91.91$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3440244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2433…10acbacked Miami68c89.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.754533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f2…04bebacked Miami69c75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Pittsburgh34c74.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb3…05e5backed Pittsburgh31c70.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.