College Football · resolved market
Spread: Miami (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa079628115a30145851861a0bd7a6290352c2f6de0c03c7c1e8885e82a7a747f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miamiof Miami, Pittsburgh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Pittsburgh | 51c | 78,037$39,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,992 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 65,071$32,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,367.7 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Pittsburgh | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami | 50c | 26,442$13,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,242.87 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Miami | 50c | 21,052$10,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,580.97 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Miami | 49c | 20,684$10,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,518.82 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Miami | 50c | 20,200$10,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,099 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Miami | 50c | 18,501$9,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250.5 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami | 49c | 15,384$7,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,847.67 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami | 51c | 15,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami | 49c | 10,532$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.34 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Miami | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Miami | 52c | 6,451$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.82 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Miami | 49c | 5,625$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.75 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Miami | 51c | 3,934$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.22 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pittsburgh | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Pittsburgh | 49c | 2,042$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Miami | 54c | 1,150$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.5 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 1,023$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.5 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Miami | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Miami | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Miami | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Miami | 52c | 589.38$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.9 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…05d5backed Miami | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Miami | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Miami | 49c | 321.77$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Pittsburgh | 52c | 303.85$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Pittsburgh | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Pittsburgh | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 175.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Pittsburgh | 50c | 162.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Pittsburgh | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pittsburgh | 51c | 150.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Miami | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c8…f2efbacked Pittsburgh | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Miami | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Pittsburgh | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pittsburgh | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Pittsburgh | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Miami | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pittsburgh | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 53.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x436e…e36fbacked Miami | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Miami | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf63…b05bbacked Miami | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9aa…e1debacked Pittsburgh | 50c | 36.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Miami | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Pittsburgh | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Miami | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Miami | 50c | 27.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861c…b362backed Pittsburgh | 49c | 24.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 21.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…2fd5backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed Miami | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami (-6.5)this page
- Miami vs. PittsburghMiami won
- Miami vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 49.5Under won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (-7.5)Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.